Trade Policy Update: New Section 301 Tariffs Proposed as Section 122 “Bridge” Nears Its July Expiration

 

The Trump administration has proposed another round of tariffs, this time framed around forced-labor enforcement, and the timing is the real story for importers. The U.S. Trade Representative has proposed new tariffs of up to 12.5% on imports from 60 economies after determining they had failed to curb trade in goods made with forced labor.  The action runs through a Section 301 unfair trade practices investigation. 

The key point is why this is happening now. The administration’s current global tariff sits on temporary footing: after the Supreme Court struck down the IEEPA tariffs in February, the administration implemented a 10% additional global tariff under Section 122 of the Trade Act of 1974 on February 24, 2026.  But that authority has a hard ceiling — it is limited to 150 days, and is set to terminate at 12:01 a.m. EDT on July 24, 2026.  Critically, Congress can extend the duration beyond 150 days, but the President cannot do so unilaterally. 

That is what makes Section 301 the durable replacement. Unlike the time-limited Section 122 surcharge, the 301 mechanism is a long-standing, litigation-tested authority that has underpinned the China tariffs for years. As one analysis put it, the 10% Section 122 duties appear to be a runway to other duties expected to come under Section 232 and Section 301 later this year.  The intent is explicit: these investigations are expected to conclude in time for new Section 301 tariffs to be imposed before the Section 122 tariffs expire on July 24, 2026.  In short, this isn’t an additive new wall so much as a more permanent one being built behind the temporary fence before it comes down.

The scope is sweeping. The probe focuses on the top 60 U.S. trading partners, accounting for 99 percent of U.S. imports,  and affects China, the European Union, and Japan.  Trading-partner reaction was mixed: Beijing said there was no forced labor in China and that it opposed unilateral tariffs, while India said it was engaged with Washington and noted the proposed tariffs were not final. 

Bottom line for shippers: Don’t treat the July 24 Section 122 expiration as tariff relief. The administration is positioning Section 301 — a far harder authority to challenge or unwind — to take over before that date. Importers from Asia and Europe should model a continued 10–12.5% landed-cost burden through the back half of 2026 rather than budgeting for a drop-off. Rates remain proposals open to comment, so the final lists and percentages may still shift.

— The Chain Logic Team

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